Invariant theory for coincidental complex reflection groups

V.F. Molchanov considered the Hilbert series for the space of invariant skew-symmetric tensors and dual tensors with polynomial coefficients under the action of a real reflection group, and speculated that it had a certain product formula involving the exponents of the group. We show that Molchanov's speculation is false in general but holds for all coincidental complex reflection groups when appropriately modified using exponents and co-exponents. These are the irreducible well-generated (i.e., duality) reflection groups with exponents forming an arithmetic progression and include many real reflection groups and all non-real Shephard groups, e.g., the Shephard-Todd infinite family $G(d,1,n)$. We highlight consequences for the $q$-Narayana and $q$-Kirkman polynomials, giving simple product formulas for both, and give a $q$-analogue of the identity transforming the $h$-vector to the $f$-vector for the coincidental finite type cluster/Cambrian complexes of Fomin--Zelevinsky and Reading.