Intransitive Dice
Combinatorics
2016-07-11 v2 Probability
Abstract
We consider -sided dice whose face values lie between and and whose faces sum to . For two dice and , define if it is more likely for to show a higher face than . Suppose such dice are randomly selected. We conjecture that the probability of ties goes to 0 as grows. We conjecture and provide some supporting evidence that---contrary to intuition---each of the assignments of or to each pair is equally likely asymptotically. For a specific example, suppose we randomly select dice and observe that . Then our conjecture asserts that the outcomes and both have probability approaching as .
Cite
@article{arxiv.1311.6511,
title = {Intransitive Dice},
author = {Brian Conrey and James Gabbard and Katie Grant and Andrew Liu and Kent Morrison},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1311.6511},
year = {2016}
}