English

Inference in $\alpha$-Brownian bridge based on Karhunen-Lo\`eve expansions

Probability 2014-08-06 v3

Abstract

We study a simple decision problem on the scaling parameter in the α\alpha-Brownian bridge X(α)X^{(\alpha)} on the interval [0,1][0,1]: given two values α0,α10\alpha_0, \alpha_1 \geq 0 with α0+α11\alpha_0 + \alpha_1 \geq 1 and some time 0T10 \leq T \leq 1 we want to test H0:α=α0H_0: \alpha = \alpha_0 vs. H1:α=α1H_1: \alpha = \alpha_1 based on the observation of X(α)X^{(\alpha)} until time TT. The likelihood ratio can be written as a functional of a quadratic form ψ(X(α))\psi(X^{(\alpha)}) of X(α)X^{(\alpha)}. In order to calculate the distribution of ψ(X(α))\psi(X^{(\alpha)}) under the null hypothesis, we generalize the Karhunen-Lo\`eve Theorem to positive finite measures on [0,1][0,1] and compute the Karhunen-Lo\`eve expansion of X(α)X^{(\alpha)} under such a measure. Based on this expansion, the distribution of ψ(X(α))\psi(X^{(\alpha)}) follows by Smirnov's formula.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1401.2326,
  title  = {Inference in $\alpha$-Brownian bridge based on Karhunen-Lo\`eve expansions},
  author = {Maik Görgens},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1401.2326},
  year   = {2014}
}

Comments

21 pages, 1 figure