Honest Reporting in Scored Oversight: True-KL0 Property via the Prekopa Principle
Abstract
We prove the True-KL property for a parametric family of heterogeneous scoring rules arising in scored elicitation mechanisms (AI oversight, forecasting competitions, expert surveys). A -dimensional agent with private type reports to a principal who evaluates via a power- pseudospherical scoring rule, ; captures the agent's information quality relative to a reference. An exact formula shows DSIC unconditionally: honest reporting maximises expected score for every , without distributional assumptions. True-KL, the property for all , , , gives an explicit gain-magnitude bound: the best misreport is always worse than the honest score itself. Two structural tools drive the proof: (i) a substitution rewrites the loss integral as with -independent weight , isolating all -dependence in a single convex factor; (ii) Prekopa's theorem on log-concavity preservation establishes that is log-concave in , the key step in the unimodality proof for . For the log-concavity proof is fully algebraic. For the Prekopa argument (analytic, covering ) combines with a certified high-precision numerical step on the residual region , closed by a large- asymptotic for . We also characterise the dimensional boundary: True-KL holds unconditionally for all when , but fails above a critical threshold for ; for we locate via high-precision mpmath evaluation (half-width 0.0016, not interval-certified).
Cite
@article{arxiv.2605.03793,
title = {Honest Reporting in Scored Oversight: True-KL0 Property via the Prekopa Principle},
author = {Lauri Lovén},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2605.03793},
year = {2026}
}
Comments
23 pages. Manuscript prepared for Annals of Applied Probability. Certificate scripts and reference outputs archived at Zenodo, doi:10.5281/zenodo.19435617