English

High moment partial sum processes of residuals in GARCH models and their applications

Statistics Theory 2007-06-13 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

In this paper we construct high moment partial sum processes based on residuals of a GARCH model when the mean is known to be 0. We consider partial sums of kkth powers of residuals, CUSUM processes and self-normalized partial sum processes. The kkth power partial sum process converges to a Brownian process plus a correction term, where the correction term depends on the kkth moment μk\mu_k of the innovation sequence. If μk=0\mu_k=0, then the correction term is 0 and, thus, the kkth power partial sum process converges weakly to the same Gaussian process as does the kkth power partial sum of the i.i.d. innovations sequence. In particular, since μ1=0\mu_1=0, this holds for the first moment partial sum process, but fails for the second moment partial sum process. We also consider the CUSUM and the self-normalized processes, that is, standardized by the residual sample variance. These behave as if the residuals were asymptotically i.i.d. We also study the joint distribution of the kkth and (k+1)(k+1)st self-normalized partial sum processes. Applications to change-point problems and goodness-of-fit are considered, in particular, CUSUM statistics for testing GARCH model structure change and the Jarque--Bera omnibus statistic for testing normality of the unobservable innovation distribution of a GARCH model. The use of residuals for constructing a kernel density function estimation of the innovation distribution is discussed.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.math/0602325,
  title  = {High moment partial sum processes of residuals in GARCH models and their applications},
  author = {Reg Kulperger and Hao Yu},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:math/0602325},
  year   = {2007}
}

Comments

Published at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/009053605000000534 in the Annals of Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aos/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)