English

Hess-MC2: Sequential Monte Carlo Squared using Hessian Information and Second Order Proposals

Machine Learning 2025-07-11 v1 Machine Learning Computation

Abstract

When performing Bayesian inference using Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, two considerations arise: the accuracy of the posterior approximation and computational efficiency. To address computational demands, Sequential Monte Carlo Squared (SMC2^2) is well-suited for high-performance computing (HPC) environments. The design of the proposal distribution within SMC2^2 can improve accuracy and exploration of the posterior as poor proposals may lead to high variance in importance weights and particle degeneracy. The Metropolis-Adjusted Langevin Algorithm (MALA) uses gradient information so that particles preferentially explore regions of higher probability. In this paper, we extend this idea by incorporating second-order information, specifically the Hessian of the log-target. While second-order proposals have been explored previously in particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo (p-MCMC) methods, we are the first to introduce them within the SMC2^2 framework. Second-order proposals not only use the gradient (first-order derivative), but also the curvature (second-order derivative) of the target distribution. Experimental results on synthetic models highlight the benefits of our approach in terms of step-size selection and posterior approximation accuracy when compared to other proposals.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2507.07461,
  title  = {Hess-MC2: Sequential Monte Carlo Squared using Hessian Information and Second Order Proposals},
  author = {Joshua Murphy and Conor Rosato and Andrew Millard and Lee Devlin and Paul Horridge and Simon Maskell},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2507.07461},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

Accepted to IEEE Machine Learning Signal Processing conference 2025

R2 v1 2026-07-01T03:54:16.818Z