HAL-MLE Log-Splines Density Estimation (Part I: Univariate)
Abstract
We study nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation of probability densities under a total variation (TV) type penalty, sectional variation norm (also named as Hardy-Krause variation). TV regularization has a long history in regression and density estimation, including results on and KL divergence convergence rates. Here, we revisit this task using the Highly Adaptive Lasso (HAL) framework. We formulate a HAL-based maximum likelihood estimator (HAL-MLE) using the log-spline link function from \citet{kooperberg1992logspline}, and show that in the univariate setting the bounded sectional variation norm assumption underlying HAL coincides with the classical bounded TV assumption. This equivalence directly connects HAL-MLE to existing TV-penalized approaches such as local adaptive splines \citep{mammen1997locally}. We establish three new theoretical results: (i) the univariate HAL-MLE is asymptotically linear, (ii) it admits pointwise asymptotic normality, and (iii) it achieves uniform convergence at rate up to logarithmic factors for the smoothness order . These results extend existing results from \citet{van2017uniform}, which previously guaranteed only uniform consistency without rates when . We will include the uniform convergence for general dimension in the follow-up work of this paper. The intention of this paper is to provide a unified framework for the TV-penalized density estimation methods, and to connect the HAL-MLE to the existing TV-penalized methods in the univariate case, despite that the general HAL-MLE is defined for multivariate cases.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2602.16259,
title = {HAL-MLE Log-Splines Density Estimation (Part I: Univariate)},
author = {Yilong Hou and Zhengpu Zhao and Yi Li and Mark van der Laan},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.16259},
year = {2026}
}
Comments
75 pages