English

Gambler's Ruin? Some Aspects of Coin Tossing

Probability 2019-10-08 v1 History and Overview

Abstract

What is the average number of tosses needed before a particular sequence of heads and tails turns up? We solve the problem didactically, starting with doubles, finding that a tail, followed by a head, turns up on the average after only four tosses, while six tosses are needed for two successive heads. The method is extended to encompass the triples head-tail-tail and head-head-tail, but head-tail-head and head-head-head are surprisingly more recalcitrant. However, the general case is finally solved by a new algorithm that allows a simple computation that can be done by hand, even for relatively long strings. It is shown that the average number of tosses is always an even integer.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1908.09234,
  title  = {Gambler's Ruin? Some Aspects of Coin Tossing},
  author = {Porter W. Johnson and David Atkinson},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1908.09234},
  year   = {2019}
}