English

Explosion speed of continuous state branching processes indexed by the Esscher transform

Probability 2025-03-19 v1

Abstract

A branching process ZZ is said to be non conservative if it hits \infty in a finite time with positive probability. It is well known that this happens if and only if the branching mechanism φ\varphi of ZZ satisfies 0+dλ/φ(λ)<\int_{0+}d\lambda/|\varphi(\lambda)|<\infty. We construct on the same probability space a family of conservative continuous state branching processes Z(ε)Z^{(\varepsilon)}, ε0\varepsilon\ge0, each process Z(ε)Z^{(\varepsilon)} having φ(ε)(λ)=φ(λ+ε)φ(ε)\varphi^{(\varepsilon)}(\lambda)=\varphi(\lambda+\varepsilon)-\varphi(\varepsilon) as branching mechanism, and such that the family Z(ε)Z^{(\varepsilon)}, ε0\varepsilon\ge0 converges a.s.~to ZZ, as ε0\varepsilon\rightarrow0. Then we study the speed of convergence of Z(ε)Z^{(\varepsilon)}, when ε0\varepsilon\rightarrow0, referred to here as the explosion speed. More specifically, we characterize the functions ff with limε0f(ε)=\lim_{\varepsilon\rightarrow0} f(\varepsilon)=\infty and such that the first passage times σε=inf{t:Zt(ε)f(ε)}\sigma_\varepsilon=\inf\{t:Z^{(\varepsilon)}_t\ge f(\varepsilon)\} converge toward the explosion time of ZZ. Necessary and sufficient conditions are obtained for the weak convergence and convergence in L1L^1. Then we give a sufficient condition for the almost sure convergence.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2503.14407,
  title  = {Explosion speed of continuous state branching processes indexed by the Esscher transform},
  author = {Loïc Chaumont and Clément Lamoureux},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2503.14407},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T22:25:30.978Z