English

Data-Driven Trends and Subpopulations in the Gravitational Wave Binary Black Hole Merger Population with UMAP

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena 2026-03-09 v1

Abstract

The rapidly expanding Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog (GWTC) necessitates the development of model-independent techniques to uncover trends and subpopulations within the binary black hole (BBH) population. We present the first usage of the Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection (UMAP) algorithm, a novel dimensionality-reduction technique, for the purpose of analyzing BBH mergers in GWTC-3. We show that UMAP, paired with a clustering algorithm, effectively partitions the population into four well-segregated subgroups principally via their primary and secondary mass components along with an outlier event, GW190521_030229190521\_030229. UMAP clearly identifies objects in the 10 M{\sim}10~M_\odot buildup in the BBH mass spectrum as their own group with aligned spins and mass ratios of 0.20.7{\sim}0.2{-}0.7 while objects in or above the 35 M{\sim}35~M_\odot overdensity are all in the same, largest group and display typically lower effective spins as well as larger mass ratios (0.50.9{\sim}0.5{-}0.9) on average. With the aid of hierarchical population inference, we interpret these as subpopulations from different formation pathways, consistent with previous findings. We also find a transitional group of a handful of objects with masses in between the aforementioned buildups and broad support for anti-aligned spins. We examine the low-mass UMAP subgroup, which exhibits anti-correlation between the mass ratio and effective spin, and show that it drives such anti-correlation for the entire GWTC-3 sample. Overall, we demonstrate that UMAP is an interpretable, non-parametric framework that can not only be used for visualization but also for probing the astrophysics of the BBH population.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2603.06566,
  title  = {Data-Driven Trends and Subpopulations in the Gravitational Wave Binary Black Hole Merger Population with UMAP},
  author = {A. J. Amsellem and I. Magaña Hernandez and A. Palmese and J. Gassert},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.06566},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

26 pages, 13 figures, 3 tables