English

Counterexamples to "The Blessings of Multiple Causes" by Wang and Blei

Methodology 2020-04-27 v3 Machine Learning

Abstract

This note has been updated (April, 2020) to respond to "Towards Clarifying the Theory of the Deconfounder" by Yixin Wang, David M. Blei (arXiv:2003.04948). This original note, posted in January, 2020, is meant to complement our previous comment on "The Blessings of Multiple Causes" by Wang and Blei (2019). We provide a more succinct and transparent explanation of the fact that the deconfounder does not control for multi-cause confounding. The argument given in Wang and Blei (2019) makes two mistakes: (1) attempting to infer independence conditional on one variable from independence conditional on a different, unrelated variable, and (2) attempting to infer joint independence from pairwise independence. We give two simple counterexamples to the deconfounder claim.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2001.06555,
  title  = {Counterexamples to "The Blessings of Multiple Causes" by Wang and Blei},
  author = {Elizabeth L. Ogburn and Ilya Shpitser and Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2001.06555},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

This note has been updated (April, 2020) to respond to "Towards Clarifying the Theory of the Deconfounder" by Yixin Wang, David M. Blei (arXiv:2003.04948)