Bayesian Prediction for The Winds of Winter
Applications
2014-09-23 v1
Abstract
Predictions are made for the number of chapters told from the point of view of each character in the next two novels in George R. R. Martin's \emph{A Song of Ice and Fire} series by fitting a random effects model to a matrix of point-of-view chapters in the earlier novels using Bayesian methods. {\textbf{SPOILER WARNING: readers who have not read all five existing novels in the series should not read further, as major plot points will be spoiled.}}
Cite
@article{arxiv.1409.5830,
title = {Bayesian Prediction for The Winds of Winter},
author = {Richard Vale},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1409.5830},
year = {2014}
}
Comments
13 pages, 5 figures