English

Approximating predictive probabilities of Gibbs-type priors

Methodology 2020-03-25 v3

Abstract

Gibbs-type random probability measures, or Gibbs-type priors, are arguably the most "natural" generalization of the celebrated Dirichlet prior. Among them the two parameter Poisson-Dirichlet prior certainly stands out for the mathematical tractability and interpretability of its predictive probabilities, which made it the natural candidate in several applications. Given a sample of size nn, in this paper we show that the predictive probabilities of any Gibbs-type prior admit a large nn approximation, with an error term vanishing as o(1/n)o(1/n), which maintains the same desirable features as the predictive probabilities of the two parameter Poisson-Dirichlet prior.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1707.08053,
  title  = {Approximating predictive probabilities of Gibbs-type priors},
  author = {Julyan Arbel and Stefano Favaro},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1707.08053},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

22 pages, 6 figures. Added posterior simulation study, corrected typos

R2 v1 2026-06-22T20:57:01.730Z