English

A new method for deriving incidence rates from prevalence data and its application to dementia in Germany

Quantitative Methods 2011-12-14 v1 Populations and Evolution Methodology

Abstract

This paper descibes a new method for deriving incidence rates of a chronic disease from prevalence data. It is based on a new ordinary differential equation, which relates the change in the age-specific prevalence to the agespecific incidence and mortality rates. The method allows the extraction of longtudinal information from cross-sectional studies. Applicability of the method is tested in the prevalence of dementia in Germany. The derived age-specific incidence is in good agreement with published values.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1112.2720,
  title  = {A new method for deriving incidence rates from prevalence data and its application to dementia in Germany},
  author = {Ralph Brinks},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1112.2720},
  year   = {2011}
}

Comments

10 pages, 1 figure