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A Concise Resolution to the Two Envelope Paradox

Other Statistics 2012-08-27 v3

Abstract

In this paper, I will demonstrate a new perspective on the Two Envelope Problem. I hope to show with convincing clarity how the paradox results from an inherent problem pertaining to the interpretation of Bayesian probability. Specifically, a subjective probability that is inconsistent with reality can mislead reasoning based on Bayesian decision theory.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1202.4669,
  title  = {A Concise Resolution to the Two Envelope Paradox},
  author = {Eric Bliss},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1202.4669},
  year   = {2012}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-21T20:22:55.222Z