English

Uncertainty in Fairness Assessment: Maintaining Stable Conclusions Despite Fluctuations

Machine Learning 2023-02-03 v1

Abstract

Several recent works encourage the use of a Bayesian framework when assessing performance and fairness metrics of a classification algorithm in a supervised setting. We propose the Uncertainty Matters (UM) framework that generalizes a Beta-Binomial approach to derive the posterior distribution of any criteria combination, allowing stable performance assessment in a bias-aware setting.We suggest modeling the confusion matrix of each demographic group using a Multinomial distribution updated through a Bayesian procedure. We extend UM to be applicable under the popular K-fold cross-validation procedure. Experiments highlight the benefits of UM over classical evaluation frameworks regarding informativeness and stability.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2302.01079,
  title  = {Uncertainty in Fairness Assessment: Maintaining Stable Conclusions Despite Fluctuations},
  author = {Ainhize Barrainkua and Paula Gordaliza and Jose A. Lozano and Novi Quadrianto},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2302.01079},
  year   = {2023}
}

Comments

25 pages (including references and appendix), 10 figures. Submitted to ICML 2023

R2 v1 2026-06-28T08:30:15.740Z