Towards Modeling HIV Long Term Behavior
Abstract
The precise mechanism that causes HIV infection to progress to AIDS is still unknown. This paper presents a mathematical model which is able to predict the entire trajectory of the HIV/AIDS dynamics, then a possible explanation for this progression is examined. A dynamical analysis of this model reveals a set of parameters which may produce two real equilibria in the model. One equilibrium is stable and represents those individuals who have been living with HIV for at least 7 to 9 years, and do not develop AIDS. The other one is unstable and represents those patients who developed AIDS in an average period of 10 years. However, further work is needed since the proposed model is sensitive to parameter variations.
Cite
@article{arxiv.1105.2823,
title = {Towards Modeling HIV Long Term Behavior},
author = {Esteban A. Hernandez-Vargas and Dhagash Mehta and Richard H. Middleton},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1105.2823},
year = {2015}
}
Comments
Accepted in proceedings of 18th IFAC World Congress, Milan, August 28 - September 2, 2011 (Invited Contribution: Modeling methods and clinical applications in medical and biological systems I). 6 pages, 7 figures