Time-dependent balls and bins model with positive feedback
Abstract
Balls and bins models are classical probabilistic models where balls are added to bins at random according to a certain rule. The balls and bins model with feedback is a non-linear generalisation of the P\'olya urn, where the probability of a new ball choosing a bin with balls is proportional to , with being the feedback parameter. It is known that if the feedback is positive (i.e. ) then the model is monopolistic: there is a finite time after which one of the bins will receive all incoming balls. We consider a time-dependent version of this model, where independent balls are added at time instead of just one. We show that if then one of the bins gets all but a negligible number of balls, and identify a phase transition in the growth of between the monopolistic and non-monopolistic behaviour. We also describe the critical regime, where the probability of monopoly is strictly between zero and one. Finally, we show that in the feedback-less case no dominance occurs, that is, each bin gets a non-negligible proportion of balls eventually. This is in sharp contrast with a similar model where new balls added at time are all placed in the same bin rather than independently.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.1809.02221,
title = {Time-dependent balls and bins model with positive feedback},
author = {Nadia Sidorova},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1809.02221},
year = {2025}
}