English

The local void model for the Hubble and BAO tensions

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics 2026-02-17 v2 Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics

Abstract

The inconsistency between the locally inferred Hubble constant and the value inferred from the cosmic microwave background assuming the Λ\LambdaCDM cosmological model has persisted, turning into an important problem. An emergent underlying trend is that this Hubble tension is driven by data confined to the very low-redshift Universe (typically z<0.15z < 0.15). Most intermediate-redshift measurements remain mutually consistent with H0CMBH_0^\mathrm{CMB}, the Λ\LambdaCDM expectation anchored by the CMB. This Perspective examines if a large local void can explain the Hubble tension and its appearance only at low zz. For an observer residing within a large underdensity, such as the Milky Way inside the claimed KBC void, gravitationally induced outflows and redshift can inflate the locally inferred recession scale czcz' despite having H0=H0CMBH_0 = H_0^\mathrm{CMB}. We summarise evidence suggestive of a local underdensity from multi-wavelength galaxy number counts, discuss the dynamical requirements implied by the amplitude of inferred bulk flows, and connect the solution to the emerging low-redshift BAO distance anomaly (αiso<1\alpha_{\mathrm{iso}} < 1). Previously published semi-analytic void models anticipated the observed redshift dependence of BAO deviations and predict a rapid convergence to CMB-consistent expansion for z0.2z \gtrsim 0.2, aligning with reconstructions of H0(z)H_0(z) from BAO plus uncalibrated Type Ia supernovae. We conclude by looking to future tests, including improved mapping of the local density and velocity field, fits to galaxy distance catalogues at the field level, kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich constraints on coherent outflows, fast radio bursts, and the long-term prospect of redshift drift measurements as a direct probe of time-varying non-cosmological redshift contributions.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2602.03928,
  title  = {The local void model for the Hubble and BAO tensions},
  author = {Indranil Banik and Harry Desmond and Vasileios Kalaitzidis and Sergij Mazurenko},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.03928},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

14 pages, 5 figures, no tables. Submitted to Discover Space, a Springer Nature journal

R2 v1 2026-07-01T09:34:55.781Z