English

The fallacy of herd immunity

Populations and Evolution 2022-09-22 v1 Physics and Society

Abstract

Here we show that herd immunity is not a measure we can implement, trust, control or depend on, and that waiting for herd immunity to play a role is tantamount to hope for the best. Herd immunity is not some protection, as it has been referred to, but a reduction in the chance of infection that a population can achieve only if more infections occur, which is paradoxical. The discussion on when there will be enough herd immunity for the COVID-19 epidemics to halt, delivers the public and policy makers the wrong message that we can wait for something to happen to relax containment measures. Here we review a non-orthodox construction of an epidemic that unveils what herd immunity really means, that is easy to understand by non-experts.

Cite

@article{arxiv.2209.10096,
  title  = {The fallacy of herd immunity},
  author = {Carlos Hernandez-Suarez},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2209.10096},
  year   = {2022}
}

Comments

Number of pages: 9. Number of figures: 1

R2 v1 2026-06-28T01:47:10.326Z