English

The Efron-Stein inequality for identically distributed pairs

Probability 2026-05-08 v1

Abstract

We prove that the classical Efron--Stein inequality holds for independent exchangeable pairs (Xi,Yi)(X_i,Y_i). The same inequality fails for independent identically distributed pairs; a simple trigonometric counterexample shows that the trivial Cauchy--Schwarz bound of factor nn is sharp. When each random variable takes at most kik_i values, a useful bound still holds with explicit constant ρ(k)maxiki/2\rho(k)\le\max_i k_i/2.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2605.05388,
  title  = {The Efron-Stein inequality for identically distributed pairs},
  author = {Jnaneshwar Baslingker and Bálint Virág},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2605.05388},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

7 pages

R2 v1 2026-07-01T12:53:35.525Z