English

The critical probability for confetti percolation equals $1/2$

Probability 2016-03-08 v2 Combinatorics

Abstract

In the confetti percolation model, or two-coloured dead leaves model, radius one disks arrive on the plane according to a space-time Poisson process. Each disk is coloured black with probability pp and white with probability 1p1-p. In this paper we show that the critical probability for confetti percolation equals 1/21/2. That is, if p>1/2p>1/2 then a.s.~there is an unbounded curve in the plane all of whose points are black; while if p1/2p \leq 1/2 then a.s.~all connected components of the set of black points are bounded. This answers a question of Benjamini and Schramm. The proof builds on earlier work by Hirsch and makes use of an adaptation of a sharp thresholds result of Bourgain.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1504.07879,
  title  = {The critical probability for confetti percolation equals $1/2$},
  author = {Tobias Muller},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1504.07879},
  year   = {2016}
}

Comments

19 pages, 4 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-22T09:25:04.366Z