English

Terrestrial planets across space and time

Astrophysics of Galaxies 2016-12-28 v2 Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics Earth and Planetary Astrophysics

Abstract

The study of cosmology, galaxy formation and exoplanets has now advanced to a stage where a cosmic inventory of terrestrial planets may be attempted. By coupling semi-analytic models of galaxy formation to a recipe that relates the occurrence of planets to the mass and metallicity of their host stars, we trace the population of terrestrial planets around both solar-mass (FGK type) and lower-mass (M dwarf) stars throughout all of cosmic history. We find that the mean age of terrestrial planets in the local Universe is 7±17\pm{}1 Gyr for FGK hosts and 8±18\pm{}1 Gyr for M dwarfs. We estimate that hot Jupiters have depleted the population of terrestrial planets around FGK stars by no more than 10%\approx 10\%, and that only 10%\approx 10\% of the terrestrial planets at the current epoch are orbiting stars in a metallicity range for which such planets have yet to be confirmed. The typical terrestrial planet in the local Universe is located in a spheroid-dominated galaxy with a total stellar mass comparable to that of the Milky Way. When looking at the inventory of planets throughout the whole observable Universe, we argue for a total of 1×1019\approx 1\times 10^{19} and 5×1020\approx 5\times 10^{20} terrestrial planets around FGK and M stars, respectively. Due to light travel time effects, the terrestrial planets on our past light cone exhibit a mean age of just 1.7±0.21.7\pm 0.2 Gyr. These results are discussed in the context of cosmic habitability, the Copernican principle and searches for extraterrestrial intelligence at cosmological distances.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1602.00690,
  title  = {Terrestrial planets across space and time},
  author = {E. Zackrisson and P. Calissendorff and J. Gonzalez and A. Benson and A. Johansen and M. Janson},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1602.00690},
  year   = {2016}
}

Comments

11 pages, 8 figures. v.2: Accepted for publication in ApJ. Some changes in quantitative results compared to v.1, mainly due to differences in IMF assumptions

R2 v1 2026-06-22T12:41:23.276Z