Stable $s$-minimal cones in $\mathbb{R}^3$ are flat for $s\sim 1$

We prove that half spaces are the only stable nonlocal $s$-minimal cones in $\mathbb{R}^3$, for $s\in(0,1)$ sufficiently close to $1$. This is the first classification result of stable $s$-minimal cones in dimension higher than two. Its proof can not rely on a compactness argument perturbing from $s=1$. In fact, our proof gives a quantifiable value for the required closeness of $s$ to $1$. We use the geometric formula for the second variation of the fractional $s$-perimeter, which involves a squared nonlocal second fundamental form, as well as the recent BV estimates for stable nonlocal minimal sets.