Space-Time Earthquake Prediction: the Error Diagrams
Geophysics
2008-07-18 v1 Other Condensed Matter
Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Abstract
The quality of earthquake prediction is usually characterized by a two-dimensional diagram 'n' vs. 'tau', where 'n' is the rate of failures-to-predict and 'tau' is a characteristic of space- time alarm. Unlike the time prediction case, the quantity 'tau' is not defined uniquely, so that the properties of the (n,tau) diagram require a theoretical analysis, which is the main goal of the present study. This note is based on a recent paper by Molchan and Keilis-Borok in GJI, 173 (2008), 1012-1017.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.0807.2533,
title = {Space-Time Earthquake Prediction: the Error Diagrams},
author = {G. Molchan},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:0807.2533},
year = {2008}
}
Comments
22 pages, 2 figures