English

Sequential Choices, Option Values, and the Returns to Education

General Economics 2024-07-03 v2 Economics

Abstract

Using detailed Norwegian data on earnings, education and work histories, we estimate a dynamic structural model of education and sector choices that captures rich life-cycle patterns by ability. We validate the model against variation in education choices induced by a compulsory schooling reform. Our approach allows us to estimate the ex-ante returns to different education tracks across the life-cycle by individual ability and quantify the contribution of option values. We find substantial heterogeneity in returns and establish crucial roles for option values and re-enrollment in determining education choices and the impact of schooling policies.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2205.05444,
  title  = {Sequential Choices, Option Values, and the Returns to Education},
  author = {Manudeep Bhuller and Philipp Eisenhauer and Moritz Mendel},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2205.05444},
  year   = {2024}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-24T11:14:10.237Z