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Seesaw Experimentation: A/B Tests with Spillovers

General Economics 2025-01-16 v4 Economics

Abstract

This paper examines how spillover effects in A/B testing can impede organizational progress and develops strategies for mitigating these challenges. We identify a phenomenon termed ``seesaw experimentation'', where a firm's overall performance paradoxically deteriorates despite achieving continuous improvements in measured A/B testing metrics. Seesaw experimentation arises when successful innovations in primary metrics generate negative externalities in secondary, unmeasured dimensions. To address this problem, we propose implementing a positive hurdle rate for A/B test approval. We derive the optimal hurdle rate, offering a simple solution that preserves decentralized experimentation while mitigating negative spillovers.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2411.02085,
  title  = {Seesaw Experimentation: A/B Tests with Spillovers},
  author = {Jin Li and Ye Luo and Xiaowei Zhang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2411.02085},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

21 pages, 2 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-28T19:47:22.695Z