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Rough volatility of Bitcoin

Statistical Finance 2020-04-16 v1

Abstract

Recent studies have found that the log-volatility of asset returns exhibit roughness. This study investigates roughness or the anti-persistence of Bitcoin volatility. Using the multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis, we obtain the generalized Hurst exponent of the log-volatility increments and find that the generalized Hurst exponent is less than 1/21/2, which indicates log-volatility increments that are rough. Furthermore, we find that the generalized Hurst exponent is not constant. This observation indicates that the log-volatility has multifractal property. Using shuffled time series of the log-volatility increments, we infer that the source of multifractality partly comes from the distributional property.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1904.12346,
  title  = {Rough volatility of Bitcoin},
  author = {Tetsuya Takaishi},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1904.12346},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

12 pages, 8 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-23T08:51:36.985Z