English

Rerandomization for covariate balance mitigates p-hacking in regression adjustment

Statistics Theory 2025-05-05 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

Rerandomization enforces covariate balance across treatment groups in the design stage of experiments. Despite its intuitive appeal, its theoretical justification remains unsatisfying because its benefits of improving efficiency for estimating the average treatment effect diminish if we use regression adjustment in the analysis stage. To strengthen the theory of rerandomization, we show that it mitigates false discoveries resulting from pp-hacking, the practice of strategically selecting covariates to get more significant pp-values. Moreover, we show that rerandomization with a sufficiently stringent threshold can resolve pp-hacking. As a byproduct, our theory offers guidance for choosing the threshold in rerandomization in practice.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2505.01137,
  title  = {Rerandomization for covariate balance mitigates p-hacking in regression adjustment},
  author = {Xin Lu and Peng Ding},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2505.01137},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

61 pages (23 pages for the main text), 2 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-28T23:19:02.273Z