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Quickest Change Detection with Confusing Change

Statistics Theory 2024-05-03 v1 Information Theory Machine Learning Signal Processing math.IT Optimization and Control Statistics Theory

Abstract

In the problem of quickest change detection (QCD), a change occurs at some unknown time in the distribution of a sequence of independent observations. This work studies a QCD problem where the change is either a bad change, which we aim to detect, or a confusing change, which is not of our interest. Our objective is to detect a bad change as quickly as possible while avoiding raising a false alarm for pre-change or a confusing change. We identify a specific set of pre-change, bad change, and confusing change distributions that pose challenges beyond the capabilities of standard Cumulative Sum (CuSum) procedures. Proposing novel CuSum-based detection procedures, S-CuSum and J-CuSum, leveraging two CuSum statistics, we offer solutions applicable across all kinds of pre-change, bad change, and confusing change distributions. For both S-CuSum and J-CuSum, we provide analytical performance guarantees and validate them by numerical results. Furthermore, both procedures are computationally efficient as they only require simple recursive updates.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2405.00842,
  title  = {Quickest Change Detection with Confusing Change},
  author = {Yu-Zhen Janice Chen and Jinhang Zuo and Venugopal V. Veeravalli and Don Towsley},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.00842},
  year   = {2024}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T16:13:16.727Z