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Predicting Choice from Information Costs

Theoretical Economics 2023-04-05 v2

Abstract

An agent acquires a costly flexible signal before making a decision. We explore to what degree knowledge of the agent's information costs helps predict her behavior. We establish an impossibility result: learning costs alone generate no testable restrictions on choice without also imposing constraints on actions' state-dependent utilities. By contrast, choices from a menu often uniquely pin down the agent's decisions in all submenus. To prove the latter result, we define iteratively differentiable cost functions, a tractable class amenable to first-order techniques. Finally, we construct tight tests for a multi-menu data set to be consistent with a given cost.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2205.10434,
  title  = {Predicting Choice from Information Costs},
  author = {Elliot Lipnowski and Doron Ravid},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2205.10434},
  year   = {2023}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-24T11:23:58.089Z