English

Parametric and nonparametric symmetries in graphical models for extremes

Statistics Theory 2023-06-02 v1 Methodology Statistics Theory

Abstract

Colored graphical models provide a parsimonious approach to modeling high-dimensional data by exploiting symmetries in the model parameters. In this work, we introduce the notion of coloring for extremal graphical models on multivariate Pareto distributions, a natural class of limiting distributions for threshold exceedances. Thanks to a stability property of the multivariate Pareto distributions, colored extremal tree models can be defined fully nonparametrically. For more general graphs, the parametric family of H\"usler--Reiss distributions allows for two alternative approaches to colored graphical models. We study both model classes and introduce statistical methodology for parameter estimation. It turns out that for H\"usler--Reiss tree models the different definitions of colored graphical models coincide. In addition, we show a general parametric description of extremal conditional independence statements for H\"usler--Reiss distributions. Finally, we demonstrate that our methodology outperforms existing approaches on a real data set.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2306.00703,
  title  = {Parametric and nonparametric symmetries in graphical models for extremes},
  author = {Frank Röttger and Jane Ivy Coons and Alexandros Grosdos},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2306.00703},
  year   = {2023}
}

Comments

24 pages, 9 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-28T10:53:23.021Z