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Optimal Bias-Correction and Valid Inference in High-Dimensional Ridge Regression: A Closed-Form Solution

Econometrics 2024-07-25 v2 Methodology Machine Learning

Abstract

Ridge regression is an indispensable tool in big data analysis. Yet its inherent bias poses a significant and longstanding challenge, compromising both statistical efficiency and scalability across various applications. To tackle this critical issue, we introduce an iterative strategy to correct bias effectively when the dimension pp is less than the sample size nn. For p>np>n, our method optimally mitigates the bias such that any remaining bias in the proposed de-biased estimator is unattainable through linear transformations of the response data. To address the remaining bias when p>np>n, we employ a Ridge-Screening (RS) method, producing a reduced model suitable for bias correction. Crucially, under certain conditions, the true model is nested within our selected one, highlighting RS as a novel variable selection approach. Through rigorous analysis, we establish the asymptotic properties and valid inferences of our de-biased ridge estimators for both p<np<n and p>np>n, where, both pp and nn may increase towards infinity, along with the number of iterations. We further validate these results using simulated and real-world data examples. Our method offers a transformative solution to the bias challenge in ridge regression inferences across various disciplines.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2405.00424,
  title  = {Optimal Bias-Correction and Valid Inference in High-Dimensional Ridge Regression: A Closed-Form Solution},
  author = {Zhaoxing Gao and Ruey S. Tsay},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.00424},
  year   = {2024}
}

Comments

48 pages, 10 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-28T16:12:37.346Z