English

On discretely structured growth models and their moments

Populations and Evolution 2025-05-15 v2

Abstract

The logistic equation is ubiquitous in applied mathematics as a minimal model of saturating growth. Here, we examine a broad generalisation of the logistic growth model to discretely structured populations, motivated by examples that range from the ageing of individuals in a species to immune cell exhaustion by cancerous tissue. Through exploration of a range of concrete examples and a general analysis of polynomial kinetics, we derive necessary and sufficient conditions for the dependence of the kinetics on structure to result in closed, low-dimensional moment equations that are exact. Further, we showcase how coarse-grained moment information can be used to elucidate the details of structured dynamics, with immediate potential for model selection and hypothesis testing. This paper belongs to the special collection: Problems, Progress and Perspectives in Mathematical and Computational Biology.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2410.01862,
  title  = {On discretely structured growth models and their moments},
  author = {Benjamin J. Walker and Helen M. Byrne},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2410.01862},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T19:05:47.951Z