English

Normal approximation of Functionals of Point Processes: Application to Hawkes Processes

Probability 2025-06-09 v2

Abstract

In this paper, we derive an explicit upper bound for the Wasserstein distance between a functional of point processes and a Gaussian distribution. Using Stein's method in conjunction with Malliavin's calculus and the Poisson embedding representation, our result applies to a variety of point processes including discrete and continuous Hawkes processes. In particular, we establish an explicit convergence rate for stable continuous non-linear Hawkes processes and for discrete Hawkes processes. Finally, we obtain an upper bound in the context of nearly unstable Hawkes processes.

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Cite

@article{arxiv.2407.19806,
  title  = {Normal approximation of Functionals of Point Processes: Application to Hawkes Processes},
  author = {Laure Coutin and Benjamin Massat and Anthony Réveillac},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2407.19806},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T17:56:33.706Z