Neyman-Pearson lemma for Bayes factors
Statistics Theory
2021-11-29 v1 Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Methodology
Statistics Theory
Abstract
We point out that the Neyman-Pearson lemma applies to Bayes factors if we consider expected type-1 and type-2 error rates. That is, the Bayes factor is the test statistic that maximises the expected power for a fixed expected type-1 error rate. For Bayes factors involving a simple null hypothesis, the expected type-1 error rate is just the completely frequentist type-1 error rate. Lastly we remark on connections between the Karlin-Rubin theorem and uniformly most powerful tests, and Bayes factors. This provides frequentist motivations for computing the Bayes factor and could help reconcile Bayesians and frequentists.
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Cite
@article{arxiv.2110.15625,
title = {Neyman-Pearson lemma for Bayes factors},
author = {Andrew Fowlie},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2110.15625},
year = {2021}
}
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8 pages