English

Modeling public opinion control by a charismatic leader

Statistical Mechanics 2024-05-30 v1 Physics and Society

Abstract

We study the average long-time behavior of the binary opinions of a social group with peer-to-peer interactions under the influence of an external bias and a persuadable leader, a strongly-biased agent with a dynamic opinion with the intention of spreading it across the system. We use a generalized, fully-connected Ising model, with each spin representing the binary opinion of an agent at a given time and a single, super spin representing the opinion of the leader. External fields and interaction constants model the opinion bias and peer-to-peer interactions, respectively, while the temperature TT models an idealized social climate, representing an authoritarian regime if TT is low or a liberal one if TT is high. We derive a mean-field solution for the average magnetization mm, the "social mood", and investigate how mm and the super spin magnetization vary as a function of TT. We find that, depending on the initial conditions, due to the presence of metastable states, the sign of the average magnetization depends on the temperature. Finally, we verify that this effect is also present even if we consider only nearest-neighbor interactions within the social group.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2405.19242,
  title  = {Modeling public opinion control by a charismatic leader},
  author = {Tiago S. A. N. Simões and Antonio Coniglio and Hans J. Herrmann and Lucilla de Arcangelis},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.19242},
  year   = {2024}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T16:45:51.519Z