English

Minimum bounding polytropes for estimation of max-linear Bayesian networks

Methodology 2025-11-11 v1 Combinatorics Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

Max-linear Bayesian networks are recursive max-linear structural equation models represented by an edge weighted directed acyclic graph (DAG). The identifiability and estimation of max-linear Bayesian networks is an intricate issue as Gissibl, Kl\"uppelberg, and Lauritzen have shown. As such, a max-linear Bayesian network is generally unidentifiable and standard likelihood theory cannot be applied. We can associate tropical polyhedra to max-linear Bayesian networks. Using this, we investigate the minimum-ratio estimator proposed by Gissibl, Kl\"uppelberg, and Lauritzen and give insight on the structure of minimal best-case samples for parameter recovery which we describe in terms of set covers of certain triangulations. We also combine previous work on estimating max-linear models from Tran, Buck, and Kl\"uppelberg to apply our geometric approach to the structural inference of max-linear models. This is tested extensively on simulated data and on real world data set, the NHANES report for 2015--2016 and the upper Danube network data.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2511.05962,
  title  = {Minimum bounding polytropes for estimation of max-linear Bayesian networks},
  author = {Kamillo Ferry},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2511.05962},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

22 pages, 8 figures, 6 tables

R2 v1 2026-07-01T07:27:36.169Z