English

Minimax Duality in Game-Theoretic Probability

Probability 2025-12-25 v1

Abstract

Game-theoretic probability uses the structure of gambles to define a concept like probability, but which is more flexible and robust. We show that results in game-theoretic probability can be thought of as minimax theorems for specific zero-sum games between two players, Gambler and World. The traditional measure-theoretic versions arise when World must play first. This perspective suggests the possibility of a more general minimax theorem from which a wide array of game-theoretic results would follow. After developing a new framing of game-theoretic probability via gamble spaces, we prove such a theorem for finite time. Applying this minimax theorem to games derived from existing measure-theoretic statements, we prove several existing and novel game-theoretic statements. This general minimax theorem can be thought of as a composite Ville's theorem, as we discuss along with future directions.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2512.21026,
  title  = {Minimax Duality in Game-Theoretic Probability},
  author = {Rafael Frongillo},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2512.21026},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T08:39:41.964Z