English

Measuring the Hubble Constant with cosmic chronometers: a machine learning approach

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics 2023-07-07 v3

Abstract

Local measurements of the Hubble constant (H0H_0) based on Cepheids e Type Ia supernova differ by 5σ\approx 5 \sigma from the estimated value of H0H_0 from Planck CMB observations under Λ\LambdaCDM assumptions. In order to better understand this H0H_0 tension, the comparison of different methods of analysis will be fundamental to interpret the data sets provided by the next generation of surveys. In this paper, we deploy machine learning algorithms to measure the H0H_0 through a regression analysis on synthetic data of the expansion rate assuming different values of redshift and different levels of uncertainty. We compare the performance of different regression algorithms as Extra-Trees, Artificial Neural Network, Gradient Boosting, Support Vector Machines, and we find that the Support Vector Machine exhibits the best performance in terms of bias-variance tradeoff in most cases, showing itself a competitive cross-check to non-supervised regression methods such as Gaussian Processes.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2209.09017,
  title  = {Measuring the Hubble Constant with cosmic chronometers: a machine learning approach},
  author = {Carlos Bengaly and Maria Aldinez Dantas and Luciano Casarini and Jailson Alcaniz},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2209.09017},
  year   = {2023}
}

Comments

Typos corrected after proof-read. Matches published version in European Physical Journal C. Scripts available at https://github.com/astrobengaly/machine_learning_H0_v2

R2 v1 2026-06-28T01:39:19.209Z