English

Maximum likelihood estimators for scaled mutation rates in an equilibrium mutation-drift model

Populations and Evolution 2020-05-07 v2

Abstract

The stationary sampling distribution of a neutral decoupled Moran or Wright-Fisher diffusion with neutral mutations is known to first order for a general rate matrix with small but otherwise unconstrained mutation rates. Using this distribution as a starting point we derive results for maximum likelihood estimates of scaled mutation rates from site frequency data under three model assumptions: a twelve-parameter general rate matrix, a nine-parameter reversible rate matrix, and a six-parameter strand-symmetric rate matrix. The site frequency spectrum is assumed to be sampled from a fixed size population in equilibrium, and to consist of allele frequency data at a large number of unlinked sites evolving with a common mutation rate matrix without selective bias. We correct an error in a previous treatment of the same problem (Burden and Tang, 2017) affecting the estimators for the general and strand-symmetric rate matrices. The method is applied to a biological dataset consisting of a site frequency spectrum extracted from short autosomal introns in a sample of Drosophila melanogaster individuals.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1911.12494,
  title  = {Maximum likelihood estimators for scaled mutation rates in an equilibrium mutation-drift model},
  author = {Claus Vogl and Lynette C. Mikula and Conrad J. Burden},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1911.12494},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

39 pages, 4 figures, simulation to test accuracy of the model added

R2 v1 2026-06-23T12:29:40.187Z