English

Local behavior of diffusions at the supremum

Probability 2021-11-18 v1

Abstract

This paper studies small-time behavior at the supremum of a diffusion process. For a solution to the SDE dXt=μ(Xt)dt+σ(Xt)dWt\mathrm{d} X_t=\mu(X_t)\mathrm{d} t+\sigma(X_t)\mathrm{d} W_t (where WW is a standard Brownian motion) we consider (ϵ1/2(XmX+ϵtX))tR(\epsilon^{-1/2}(X_{m^X+\epsilon t}-\overline{X}))_{t\in\mathbb{R}} as ϵ0\epsilon\downarrow0, where X\overline{X} is the supremum of XX on the time interval [0,1][0,1] and mXm^X is the time of the supremum. It is shown that this process converges in law to a process ξ^\hat{\xi}, where (ξ^t)t0(\hat\xi_t)_{t\geq0} and (ξ^t)t0(\hat\xi_{-t})_{t\geq0} arise as independent Bessel-3 processes multiplied by σ(X)-\sigma(\overline{X}). The proof is based on the fact that a continuous local martingale can be represented as a time-changed Brownian motion. This representation is also used to prove a limit theorem for zooming in on XX at a fixed time. As an application of the zooming-in result at the supremum we consider estimation of the supremum X\overline{X} based on observations at equidistant times.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2111.09048,
  title  = {Local behavior of diffusions at the supremum},
  author = {Jakob Dalsgaard Thøstesen},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2111.09048},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

10 pages

R2 v1 2026-06-24T07:41:59.392Z