English

Let's Make Every Pull Request Meaningful: An Empirical Analysis of Developer and Agentic Pull Requests

Software Engineering 2026-01-27 v1

Abstract

The automatic generation of pull requests (PRs) using AI agents has become increasingly common. Although AI-generated PRs are fast and easy to create, their merge rates have been reported to be lower than those created by humans. In this study, we conduct a large-scale empirical analysis of 40,214 PRs collected from the AIDev dataset. We extract 64 features across six families and fit statistical regression models to compare PR merge outcomes for human and agentic PRs, as well as across three AI agents. Our results show that submitter attributes dominate merge outcomes for both groups, while review-related features exhibit contrasting effects between human and agentic PRs. The findings of this study provide insights into improving PR quality through human-AI collaboration.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2601.18749,
  title  = {Let's Make Every Pull Request Meaningful: An Empirical Analysis of Developer and Agentic Pull Requests},
  author = {Haruhiko Yoshioka and Takahiro Monno and Haruka Tokumasu and Taiki Wakamatsu and Yuki Ota and Nimmi Weeraddana and Kenichi Matsumoto},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2601.18749},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

Accepted for publication in the 23rd International Conference on Mining Software Repositories (MSR '26) : 5 pages, 3 figures, 3 tables

R2 v1 2026-07-01T09:20:51.109Z