English

Insuring uninsurable income

Theoretical Economics 2026-03-18 v16

Abstract

We study dynamic mechanism design in a pure-exchange economy with privately observed idiosyncratic income. In the standard infinitely lived hidden-income benchmark of Green (1987) and Thomas-Worrall (1990), constrained-efficient allocations exhibit immiseration. We propose a simple recursive mechanism -- adapted from Marcet-Marimon (1992) -- that shifts each income shock forward by one period, keeps promised utilities in a bounded set, and, under a transparent ``moderate risk-aversion'' condition, delivers sequential efficiency. In a stationary \emph{overlapping-generations} setting, we further show that under additional symmetry and curvature assumptions, a second-order approximation yields a sufficient condition for period-by-period budget balance; early cohorts pre-fund later transfers; for suitable initial promises, all cohorts are better off than under autarky. Our analysis uses a single state (promised utility), closed-form transfers, and a Bellman verification.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2204.00347,
  title  = {Insuring uninsurable income},
  author = {Michiko Ogaku},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2204.00347},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

19 pages. The earlier version of this paper was circulated under the title "Mutual insurance for uninsurable income"

R2 v1 2026-06-24T10:34:31.891Z