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How Often Should People be Tested for Corona to Avoid a Shutdown?

Populations and Evolution 2020-05-01 v1
Authors: Helmut Hlavacs
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Abstract

Based on the well known SIR model, this paper develops a model for predicting the number of necessary testings of asymptomatic persons in order to push Reff below 1, thus suppressing an outbreak. The model considers R0, time for obtaining a test result, and effect of population discipline. The outcome are closed form expressions for the number of daily tests.

Keywords

epidemic modeling

Cite

@article{arxiv.2004.14767,
  title  = {How Often Should People be Tested for Corona to Avoid a Shutdown?},
  author = {Helmut Hlavacs},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2004.14767},
  year   = {2020}
}

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