English

How Many Simulations Do We Exist In? A Practical Mathematical Solution to the Simulation Argument

Popular Physics 2020-01-29 v1

Abstract

The Simulation Argument has gained significant traction in the public arena. It has offered a hypothesis based on probabilistic analysis of its assumptions that we are likely to exist within a computer simulation. This has been derived from factors including the prediction of computing power, human existence, extinction and population dynamics, and suggests a very large value for the number of possible simulations within which we may exist. On evaluating this argument through the application of tangible real-world evidence and projections, it is possible to calculate real numerical solutions for the Simulation Argument. This reveals a much smaller number of possible simulations within which we may exist, and offers a novel practicable approach in which to appraise the variety and multitude of conjectures and theories associated with the Simulation Hypothesis.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2001.10439,
  title  = {How Many Simulations Do We Exist In? A Practical Mathematical Solution to the Simulation Argument},
  author = {Hutan Ashrafian},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2001.10439},
  year   = {2020}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-23T13:23:07.668Z