English

Generating Accurate Synthetic Survival Data by Conditioning on Outcomes

Machine Learning 2025-08-07 v2 Machine Learning

Abstract

Synthetically generated data can improve privacy, fairness, and data accessibility; however, it can be challenging in specialized scenarios such as survival analysis. One key challenge in this setting is censoring, i.e., the timing of an event is unknown in some cases. Existing methods struggle to accurately reproduce the distributions of both observed and censored event times when generating synthetic data. We propose a conceptually simple approach that generates covariates conditioned on event times and censoring indicators by leveraging existing tabular data generation models without making assumptions about the mechanism underlying censoring. Experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that our method consistently outperforms baselines and improves downstream survival model performance.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2405.17333,
  title  = {Generating Accurate Synthetic Survival Data by Conditioning on Outcomes},
  author = {Mohd Ashhad and Ricardo Henao},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.17333},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

Accepted to Machine Learning for Healthcare (MLHC) 2025

R2 v1 2026-06-28T16:42:23.479Z