Generalized Diffusive Epidemic Process with Permanent Immunity in Two Dimensions
Abstract
We introduce the generalized diffusive epidemic process, which is a metapopulation model for an epidemic outbreak where a non-sedentary population of walkers can jump along lattice edges with diffusion rates or if they are susceptible or infected, respectively, and recovered individuals possess permanent immunity. Individuals can be contaminated with rate if they share the same lattice node with an infected individual and recover with rate , being removed from the dynamics. Therefore, the model does not have the conservation of the active particles composed of susceptible and infected individuals. The reaction-diffusion dynamics are separated into two stages: (i) Brownian diffusion, where the particles can jump to neighboring nodes, and (ii) contamination and recovery reactions. The dynamics are mapped into a growing process by activating lattice nodes with successful contaminations where activated nodes are interpreted as infection sources. In all simulations, the epidemic starts with one infected individual in a lattice filled with susceptibles. Our results indicate a phase transition in the dynamic percolation universality class controlled by the population size, irrespective of diffusion rates and and a subexponential growth of the epidemics in the percolation threshold.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2407.08175,
title = {Generalized Diffusive Epidemic Process with Permanent Immunity in Two Dimensions},
author = {V. R. Carvalho and T. F. A. Alves and G. A. Alves and D. S. M. Alencar and F. W. S. Lima and A. Macedo-Filho and R. S. Ferreira},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2407.08175},
year = {2024}
}
Comments
8 pages, 4 figures