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Gaussian and Bootstrap Approximation for Matching-based Average Treatment Effect Estimators

Statistics Theory 2024-12-25 v1 Econometrics Probability Machine Learning Statistics Theory

Abstract

We establish Gaussian approximation bounds for covariate and rank-matching-based Average Treatment Effect (ATE) estimators. By analyzing these estimators through the lens of stabilization theory, we employ the Malliavin-Stein method to derive our results. Our bounds precisely quantify the impact of key problem parameters, including the number of matches and treatment balance, on the accuracy of the Gaussian approximation. Additionally, we develop multiplier bootstrap procedures to estimate the limiting distribution in a fully data-driven manner, and we leverage the derived Gaussian approximation results to further obtain bootstrap approximation bounds. Our work not only introduces a novel theoretical framework for commonly used ATE estimators, but also provides data-driven methods for constructing non-asymptotically valid confidence intervals.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2412.17181,
  title  = {Gaussian and Bootstrap Approximation for Matching-based Average Treatment Effect Estimators},
  author = {Zhaoyang Shi and Chinmoy Bhattacharjee and Krishnakumar Balasubramanian and Wolfgang Polonik},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2412.17181},
  year   = {2024}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T20:45:52.295Z