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Fusing independent inferential models in a black-box manner

Statistics Theory 2024-05-14 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

Inferential models (IMs) represent a novel possibilistic approach for achieving provably valid statistical inference. This paper introduces a general framework for fusing independent IMs in a "black-box" manner, requiring no knowledge of the original IMs construction details. The underlying logic of this framework mirrors that of the IMs approach. First, a fusing function for the initial IMs' possibility contours is selected. Given the possible lack of guarantee regarding the calibration of this function for valid inferences, a "validification" step is performed. Subsequently, a straightforward normalization step is executed to ensure that the final output conforms to a possibility contour.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2405.07173,
  title  = {Fusing independent inferential models in a black-box manner},
  author = {Leonardo Cella},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.07173},
  year   = {2024}
}

Comments

8 pages

R2 v1 2026-06-28T16:24:25.444Z